Sandstone Premium InsightsBETA
Powered bySandstone Insights
Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ALL)
BUY

Eyes on the Playtech prize

FY21 result

Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Eyes on the Playtech prize

Need to know:

  • Strong recovery in full year profit post COVID-19
  • Final dividend 26cps fully franked, payment date 17 Dec 2021
  • Playtech acquisition may be subject to bidding war, ALL well placed

ALL reported an 81% increase in normalised net profit to $865 million in FY21 bringing the company back towards its 2019 pre-COVID performance. Segment profit increased 43.5% to $1,919.3 million as the company maintained its market leading investment in game design, development and technology.

The result was in-line with guidance but the corporate overhead of $112 million was surprisingly high but reflected business growth, some transformational initiatives and higher variable compensation.

Aristocrat FY21 performance

The overall result was high quality considering the $99 million FX headwind and was backed by strong operating cash flow of approximately $1.3 billion which was a 30% increase on last year.

ALL’s North American Class III Premium installed base grew 13.8% to 27,719 units and the average fee per day increased 12% to US$57.24 as key titles such as Cash Express: Luxury Line, Buffalo Link and Crazy Rich Asians drove momentum. ALL averaged 17 of the top 25 games on the Eilers and Krejcik premium title list for the year to September 2021.

Investment view

The FY21 result has been overshadowed by the recent acquisition of Playtech for A$5 billion and the associated equity capital raising. There is speculation that ALL may encounter some competition for Playtech before the transaction can be completed subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals.

Potential counterbidders are thought to be lining up offers that may be at a premium to ALL’s price which valued Playtech at an Enterprise Value of £2.7 billion.

There is no guarantee that any alternative party will make a formal bid for Playtech at this point, so ALL does not need to take any immediate action. In the case that a competing bid does emerge, we think any (hypothetically) revised bid by ALL would be viewed as superior given the cash certainty of ALL’s bid and greater likelihood of passing all necessary probity approvals in key Playtech markets – there are more than 30 regulated jurisdictions involved.

ALL would likely fund any incremental money from existing cash resources.

The Playtech acquisition gives ALL a serious entry into the real online money gambling industry and will be highly transformational to the group. It provides complementary growth channels for ALL’s premium gaming content and it will broaden and deepen ALL’s position in the rapidly growing iGaming industry. This is a key catalyst for ALL’s future growth. We retain our Buy recommendation on ALL.

Key Properties

Key Properties

Forecasts

Forecasts

Share Price

Share Price

Company Description

  • ALL is a global designer, developer and manufacturer of gaming content, platformas and systems, including electronic gaming machines, casino management systems and free-to-play mobile games.

Disclaimers and Disclosures

Issuer

The information and opinions contained within Sandstone Insights Research were prepared by MST Financial Services Pty Ltd (ABN 54 617 475 180, AFSL 500557) ("MST").

Reliance

Whilst MST make every effort to use reliable, comprehensive information in the construction of its reports, MST make no representation, warranty or undertaking of the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of information in this report. Save for any statutory liability that cannot be excluded, MST and MST employees, representative and agents shall not be liable (whether in negligence or otherwise) for any error or inaccuracy in, or omission from, this advice or any resulting loss suffered by the recipient or any other person.

General Advice

Any advice contained within Sandstone Insights Research is general advice only and has been prepared without taking into account any person’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Any person, before acting on any advice contained within Sandstone Insights Research, should first consider consulting with a financial adviser to assess whether that advice is appropriate for their objectives, financial situation and needs. 

General Disclosures

This report should be read in conjunction with MST Disclaimers and Disclosures and is published in accordance with MST Conflict Management Policy which are available on the MST website: https://www.sandstoneinsights.com.au

Currency of Research

The recommendations made in a Sandstone Insights Research report are current as of the publication date. If you are reading a report materially after publication, it is likely that circumstances will have changed and at least some aspects of the analysis may no longer hold.

Access and Use

Any access to or use of Sandstone Insights Research is subject to the Terms of Use. By accessing or using Sandstone Insights Research you hereby agree to be bound by our Terms and Conditions and hereby liable for any monies due in payment of accessing this service. In addition you consent to us collecting and using your personal data (including cookies) in accordance with MST Privacy Policy, including for the purpose of a) setting your preferences and b) collecting readership data so MST may deliver an improved and personalised service to you. If you do not agree to MST Terms of Use and/or if you do not wish to consent to MST use of your personal data, please do not access this service.

Equities Research Methodology

Please click here for information about MST equities research methodology.