Sandstone Premium InsightsBETA
Powered bySandstone Insights
Domain Holdings Australia Limited (DHG)
BUY

Campaign coup

Acquires Realbase

Sector: Communication Services
Campaign coup

Need to know:

  • DHG pays $180m plus $50m contingency for real estate campaign management business
  • Lifts DHG’s property technology capability
  • DHG raising $180m equity at $3.80/share
  • Listings growth remains robust

Domain’s acquisition of Realbase bulks up its Agent Services business and boosts the company’s offering in property technology.

Realbase is a real estate campaign technology platform providing services to agents on about 40% of all property transactions. The platform enables agents to seamlessly construct, price, order and track the campaign marketing products required to list and market a property.

The acquisition will accelerate DHG’s Agent Services strategy and increase its market coverage from 35% to around half of all property transactions in Australia. Many agents still use inefficient and timeconsuming manual processes in this regard.

There is a substantial earnout payment of up to $50 million which, at the maximum, would reflect a five-fold increase in Realbase’s operating earnings by FY26f. DHG can elect to pay the earnout in either cash or scrip.

If DHG can lift the earnings of Realbase by 15-20% pa over the next few years, and extract around $18 million of estimated synergies by FY26f, then the total acquisition price will have proved to be very smart.

Realbase will contribute approximately $22 million revenue and $9 million EBITDA to DHG’s FY22f result.

DHG has so far invested about $330 million in agent services across a number of businesses. The aim of Agent Services is to leverage its salesforce and relationships to increase penetration of both agent and listing products across its customer base.

Investment view

DHG provided an update on Q3 trading which showed listings growth is robust but beginning to slow down compared to strong comparable numbers last year. The Realbase acquisition appears to be sensible and provides further growth for Agent Services. The equity raised will dilute earnings slightly, but we note that NEC has committed to take up its full entitlement representing 59% of the raising. DHG’s medium and long term growth is being driven by yield uplift and growth in Agent Services. We think recent share price weakness presents investors with a buying opportunity.

Risks to investment view

Growth in listings volume may slow down due to the approaching Federal election and possibly due to the threat of rising interest rates. Competitive pressure may also subdue yield growth.

Recommendation

We have retained our Buy recommendation.

Stock overview

Stock overview

Key properties

Key properties

Financial forecasts

Financial forecasts

Share price

Share price

Company overview

Domain Holdings is an online and print real estate advertising business. It has adjacent businesses in home loans, insurance and solutions for real estate agents.

Disclaimers and Disclosures

Issuer

The information and opinions contained within Sandstone Insights Research were prepared by MST Financial Services Pty Ltd (ABN 54 617 475 180, AFSL 500557) ("MST").

Reliance

Whilst MST make every effort to use reliable, comprehensive information in the construction of its reports, MST make no representation, warranty or undertaking of the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of information in this report. Save for any statutory liability that cannot be excluded, MST and MST employees, representative and agents shall not be liable (whether in negligence or otherwise) for any error or inaccuracy in, or omission from, this advice or any resulting loss suffered by the recipient or any other person.

General Advice

Any advice contained within Sandstone Insights Research is general advice only and has been prepared without taking into account any person’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Any person, before acting on any advice contained within Sandstone Insights Research, should first consider consulting with a financial adviser to assess whether that advice is appropriate for their objectives, financial situation and needs. 

General Disclosures

This report should be read in conjunction with MST Disclaimers and Disclosures and is published in accordance with MST Conflict Management Policy which are available on the MST website: https://www.sandstoneinsights.com.au

Currency of Research

The recommendations made in a Sandstone Insights Research report are current as of the publication date. If you are reading a report materially after publication, it is likely that circumstances will have changed and at least some aspects of the analysis may no longer hold.

Access and Use

Any access to or use of Sandstone Insights Research is subject to the Terms of Use. By accessing or using Sandstone Insights Research you hereby agree to be bound by our Terms and Conditions and hereby liable for any monies due in payment of accessing this service. In addition you consent to us collecting and using your personal data (including cookies) in accordance with MST Privacy Policy, including for the purpose of a) setting your preferences and b) collecting readership data so MST may deliver an improved and personalised service to you. If you do not agree to MST Terms of Use and/or if you do not wish to consent to MST use of your personal data, please do not access this service.

Equities Research Methodology

Please click here for information about MST equities research methodology.